High bias is underfitting High variance is overfitting Generally, we'll want to find a golden mean between the two

How can we tell?

  1. The training error will tend to decrease as we increase the degree (d) of the polynomial.
  2. At the same time, the cross validation error will tend to decrease as we increase d up to a point, and then it will increase as d is increased, forming a convex curve.

Summarising

Visually